Saturday, May 01, 2021

First Saturday in May


My pick in the Kentucky Derby was HIGHLY MOTIVATED. It was not to be. Here was my POV: Trained by the capable Chad Brown and ridden by the able Javier Castellano. The horse was third in the Gotham and second in the Bluegrass. This horse was nipped at the wire in the Bluegrass by today's favorite. As we move to the Derby, we usually look for a horse that was coming on at the end of the last outing at a shorter distance.  But I have a feeling, with Brown, the rider may have been told the prize was the first Saturday in May. It’s the horse's third of the form cycle, which is a nice pattern for Brown. The horse is tactical and you’d like to see him in the forefront of the second wave on the back stretch. He is running from a tough hole on the outside, and may, like Essential Quality, have had too hard a race in the last. That's Patriot great Wes Welker below having a wild weekend at the 2014 Derby. 

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