Tuesday, February 11, 2025

INFINITE FEEDBACK LOOP OF TIME

 

INFINITE FEEDBACK LOOP OF TIME - With regenerative and frequency modulation circuits in the early and mid 20th Century, Edwin Howard Armstrong employed feedback to great effect. The improvement in fidelity between AM and FM radio being Armstrong’s greatest achievement. One could say Armstrong took a cue from mechanical and electrical thermostats that had evolved over the previous 100 years. The work on the thermostat arguably morphed into the autopilot. All these feedback-based inventions spurred scientific thought, and the birth of Cybernetics under the tutelage of Wiener, McCullough and others.

Overtime, Feedback loops were understood as essential to how natural and artificial systems were regulated to maintain stability. Ultimately, with the term ‘Cybernetics’ well in the rear-view mirror, researchers followed feedback to form the basis for recurrent Neural Networks’ use in Natural language processing. 

The neural nets’ ability to analyze sentences and predict the next word to appear in a sequence in turn formed the basis for generative AI and the large language models [LLMs]. Those latter elements form the basis for the AI phenomenon that has dominated news reports, driven stock market fortunes and caused complex geopolitical maneuvering.

Growing up, feedback was always there. The kids in our neighborhood army were deft on bikes, as able as the kids on Sting Rays in ET. “Proprioceptive, visual and tactile Feedback” is a crucial – tho largely unconscious- part of riding a bicycle. It was something that my sister’s disability disallowed her from mastering. For me, feedback was in the imagination too.

When I was young, the thermostat was a marvel; you could take the thermostat faceplate off the hinge, and look at the innards - at bimetal coil – or toy with the little vial of mysterious mercury bubble. 

Visiting grandmother in Boston my father exalted in the sound of a Zenith FM radio – he’d buy one once Milwaukee got an FM station. Recall The radio I took apart, leaving tubes on the kitchen floor, while he and ma were at Black Fan pier seeing Uncle Sonny and Aunt Nellie off back to Ireland; my mother affected predictable shock, and my grandmother said: “Leave him alone, he’s fine.” 

Fourth of July’s with Billy Little,  slipping away from the families’ picnic, getting in Pontiac, setting the ‘autopilot’ for the North Star so we could riff on a higher philosophical plain, wrestle men from Mongo.

When I was assigned a college entrance essay, I chose Cybernetics, Technology and Dehumanization;  this topic I’d discovered as I tried to read every new book upstairs from the children’s library where I worked after school.  The paper did not impress the University of Chicago, but I carried Cybernetics as a hobby interest ever thereafter, and eventually made a living as a high tech reporter.

 I dabbled, but thought I knew a lot. I was amazed recently to learn more about Italo Calvino, a 1960s science fiction writer; to learn he delivered lectures on Cybernetics and Literature in 1967. The lectures discussed much – including early work in machine learning and linguistics, and his hallmark paper deserves attention today, as we as a planet grapple with AI. – Jack Vaughan

I’d like to thank the Google Gemini AI model for its help in this composition.


Friday, February 07, 2025

Friday, January 24, 2025

LORD TRUMP BANANAS SAYS

 LORD TRUMP BANANAS SAYS -
HENCEFORTH, ALL ENERGY WILL BE CARBONIZED. JAN. 20



Wednesday, January 22, 2025

1950

Monday, January 20, 2025

China Moon Plans Come into Focus

 


It’s been something of an afterthought since the US Apollo program ended in December of 1972, but the Moon is moving into the public spotlight again.

What’s becoming clear is that a new Moon race is well underway, one with plenty of participants but one most pointedly pitting China against the US.

The competition has a different character than it had in the now distant past — it’s become more a long-running endurance race and less the clearly defined sprint it was in the 1960s, when fear of Sputnik tended to unite sentiment in the US.

Today, as opposed parties slot in and out, the ‘where’ and ‘when’ of US space targets are in constant flux, according to a China expert and tech strategy analyst.

“Do we go to Mars or the Moon?” author Dean Cheng asked, as he discussed his “China and the New Moon Race” in a book launch and lecture at the Space Policy Institute in Washington, D.C.

“When you think back over the last five administrations,” he said, “how often have we gone back and forth over what should we focus on?”

In effect, the Moon and Mars have vied as objectives. As Donald J. Trump returns to the White House, the balance between Moon and Mars efforts will be tested anew. This is especially so, since Moon and Mars rocket pioneer Elon Musk appears a constant murmur in Trump’s ear.

Meanwhile, in Cheng’s estimation, Chinese space exploration has a more pointed and profound tenor. That is because it is seen at home as a strategic national priority touching on all aspects of national power — political, diplomatic, cultural, and technological. Cheng emphasized that China’s space strategy is “sustained, systematic, and strategic.”

That’s as the US finds it very difficult to sustain interest in space, said Cheng, who has served as an analyst for the Heritage Foundation and the US Office of Tech Assessment, and participated in a user group associated with the National Space Council.

Set the controls for the Lunar South Pole

Conservative ‘steady as it goes’ China space planning may be moving ahead at an increased rate. Last year, China’s Chang’e 6 mission succeeded in landing on the Moon’s far side and then returning Moon rocks to Earth. An effort to place astronauts on the Moon is clearly afoot.

According to Cheng, the Peoples’ Republic’s recent space white papers show a plan to dominate space technology — particularly that related to communications and logistics — while other announcements disclose a speeded-up Moon station effort.

“All of a sudden, the Chinese came out and said, “we are going to land a Chinese set of astronauts on the moon by 2030,” Cheng said, “and so it’s worth thinking about just why it is that the Chinese have broken their own past mold with the announcement of their current planned lunar landing mission.”

Recent white papers disclose China’s interest in exploring the lunar south pole, a region thought to be rich in potential resources, including water ice and Helium-3.

A better sense of China’s Moon ambition may add new clarity to US space planning that has often bordered on befuddled. Last month, outgoing NASA Administrator Bill Nelson, while announcing significant delays in the US’s Artemis Moon mission, said it was vital “for us to land on the south pole so that we do not cede portions of that lunar south pole to the Chinese.”

[This also appeared on my Medium.com blog.]

Related
Dean Cheng at SPI — Jan 2025

ARTEMIS on hold on NYT — Dec 2024

Defense One on China Space — Jan 2025

Friday, January 17, 2025

Space Debris Today

 

Very exciting! SpaceX are now one step closer to their goal of a manned spaceflight with a 100% fatality rate

[image or embed]

— pixelatedboat aka “mr bluesky” (@pixelatedboat.bsky.social) January 16, 2025 at 9:11 PM

Thursday, January 16, 2025

What I’m thinnin’ ‘bout - Kings of Confirmation Bias - The World bids Biden adieu

 From ‪Jack Vaughan - USA‬ ‪@jackvaughan.bsky.social‬

https://bsky.app/profile/jackvaughan.bsky.social/post/3lfugzary2c2s

Reading the news: A Euphoric Tech Industry Is Ready to Celebrate Trump and Itself ...

But their Giddiness is based on Confirmation bias that misleads....

Last year was notable because it was the first time that Republicans won the popular vote since 2004 ...


But the victory does not stand out compared with much larger shifts in previous elections, like the 25-point turn toward Democrats in Jimmy Carter’s 1976 victory or the 23-point flip toward Republicans in Richard Nixon’s 1968 win.


However the medias generally go with the Landslide narrative - which is easy for sports-attuned public to go with too ...


After 4 years of incessant Trump trumpeting and Biden bashing the populi were worn out...Biden too!


The drama of quickly switching in new candidate confused as many as it enthused...and Dems lost. But Election Narrative takes form of "Landslide".


The 23-pt. flip when Richard Nixon was elected President of the United States: He received 43.4 percent of the total vote, which represented a margin of victory over the Democratic candidate, Hubert Humphrey, of a scant seven-tenths of one percent of all votes cast.


Humphrey campaign did not start until April. Leaving 7 months to work with. And was gaining in November. Harris had by comparison had less than 4 months.


Biden cites Eisenhower in farewell address. Warns of Tech Oligarchs - as Ike warned of Military-Industrial Complex in 1960. It's the Oligarho-Technologists' power in realm of Media Biden finds most concerning.

NYTimes Related

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/16/us/politics/trump-tech-inauguration-parties.html

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/15/us/politics/full-transcript-of-president-bidens-farewell-address.html

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2025/01/16/us/politics/2024-election-washington-gop.html